What 2 Watch 4: Preseason Week 1

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2009 NFL Black Logo|Michael Tipton; Image from Flickr

Football is back! Well, it was technically back with the Hall of Fame game last week…but, this is the first week back for all 32 NFL teams, 10 of which you can watch live on NFL Network over the next three days:

Thursday, August 9th

Friday, August 10th

Saturday, August 11th

NFL Network usually picks the preseason games they feel will be most compelling to air live on their network (the rest are still aired, but after the games have already concluded). Here’s a look at why NFL Network chose these five games, aka why you should watch them and what you should look for:

 

Cleveland Browns @ New York Giants- Thursday, August 9th 7pm ET

 

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Baker Mayfield Training Camp 2018; Photo from Wikimedia Commons

Cleveland Browns 

 

  • QBs. While Tyrod Taylor is already widely considered the Day 1 starter for the Browns, don’t sleep on Baker Mayfield. It’s not too often that you see #1 overall NFL draft picks sit their entire rookie season. While I believe Taylor is the better player and he has a winning track record (see: 2017 Buffalo Bills playoff run), I don’t think he’ll start the entire season because I don’t think head coach Hue Jackson (1-31 in 2 seasons in Cleveland) can afford that, especially if the Browns come out of the gate slow. Also, tune in for perennial backup Drew Stanton, who is probably one of the best backup QBs in the league, but may not make the final 53 in Cleveland.

 

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Darian Thompson 2017; Photo from Wikimedia Commons

New York Giants

 

  • Secondary. The Giants have the usual issues that you’ll want to watch with another ‘retooled’ o-line and linebacking corps (oh, and there’s also a RB by the name of Saquon Barkley that you might be excited about, though he’s not likely to play much tonight), but I’m really interested in seeing the defensive secondary. CB1 and SS are both locked down by Janoris Jenkins and Landon Collins, respectively (you might not see either in this game), but CB2, FS, and Slot Corner are all much more compelling. CB2 is likely to go to Eli Apple, the 10th overall pick in 2016 who is probably in his last year to prove that he belongs. Curtis Riley is getting the start at FS, but I like Boise State alum Darian Thompson who, like Eli Apple, is a member of the 2016 Giants draft class who is probably in his last year to prove himself. If Thompson plays well in the preseason, expect to see him jump Riley come the regular season. Slot Corner is the biggest toss-up with a mix of at least six different players up for the job. My two favorites are veteran signee BW Webb, and fan-favorite Donte Deayon.

 

Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers- Thursday, August 9th 10pm ET

Dallas Cowboys

  • WRs. Dez Bryant is gone, Jason Witten is retired. Who’s got next? I don’t really like any of the TEs in Dallas, so I’ll focus on the receivers. There’s hot-and-cold Terrance Williams who has yet to have a true breakthrough season, there’s on again-off again Cole Beasley, there’s first-round bust and physical freak Tavon Austin (who’s actually listed as a RB), and there’s third-round rookie Michael Gallup. One of those guys has to step up. I don’t think Williams, Beasley, or Austin are capable of anything more than what they’ve already shown. If Dallas is going to have a WR1 emerge from this group, it’s going to be Michael Gallup, who is probably my favorite receiver from this draft class. He’s not really a physical standout in terms of speed, agility, etc., but I think he’s got the best hands to come out of the draft since the 2014 class (OBJ, Mike Evans, Brandin Cooks).

San Francisco 49ers

  • FS. I think the 49ers are in a spot where there is a pretty clear line between most of their starters and their backups, which is pretty unusual and can be a good or a bad thing. The one spot I definitely do not believe that to be the case is FS. The 49ers’ unofficial depth chart lists 2017 7th rounder Adrian Colbert as the starter, followed by rookie 5th rounder DJ Reed. I don’t know much about either player, which usually means most people don’t (that’s not intended as a brag so much as a comment about how I spend WAY too much time analyzing football), so I figure that should be a fun competition to watch. One name I do recognize is backup CB Jimmie Ward, who I believe has played safety in the past and may be a dark horse to win the starting FS job if Colbert and Reed fail to distinguish themselves.

Atlanta Falcons @ New York Jets- Friday, August 10th 7:30pm ET

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Tevin Coleman 2015 2; Photo from Wikimedia Commons

Atlanta Falcons

  • RG and Tevin Coleman. RG is the biggest starting spot competition for the Falcons this year, so there’s that. But I’m going to be watching Tevin Coleman, who is WAY too good of a RB for the Falcons to keep on their bench (but he’s also not good enough to warrant benching Devonta Freeman). He won’t be in a Falcons uniform next season, so Falcons fans should enjoy having the best backup RB in the league while he’s still a backup.

New York Jets

  • QBs. Veteran journeyman Josh McCown is listed as the starter and was serviceable for the Jets in a less than stellar 2017 campaign. Free agent acquisition Teddy Bridgewater is listed as QB2 and has reportedly looked quite good in training camp after missing most of the last two seasons with a severe knee injury. Rookie 3rd overall pick Sam Darnold is listed as QB3 and is looking to start making good impressions on his teammates, coaches, and fans following an extended holdout over his rookie contract. One of these three guys will not be a New York Jet by the trade deadline, possibly even by the start of the regular season. Who will be the odd man out?

Detroit Lions @ Oakland Raiders- Friday, August 10th 10:30pm ET

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LeGarrette Blount; Photo from Wikimedia Commons

Detroit Lions

  • RBs. Come for the best goal-line back in the league, stay for the hilarious mess that has been the Lions running game basically since Barry Sanders called it quits. I kid you not, the depth chart at detroitlions.com has TWO SEPARATE RB SLOTS, without any sort of ‘power’ or ‘3rd down’ or other distinguishing designation on either! LeGarrette Blount is the veteran free agent signee who has been on two straight Super Bowl Champion teams but is slowing down at 31 years of age. Kerryon Johnson is the 2nd round rookie who the Lions probably could have gotten as late as the 4th round. Then you have Theo Riddick (a pass catcher), Ameer Abdullah (a bust), Dwayne Washington and Zach Zenner who were all on the team last year and if you recognize their names, it’s because they have ALL TAKEN SNAPS FOR THE LIONS AT SOME POINT. Good luck figuring this one out because the Lions sure haven’t.
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Jon Gruden Coaches Tour Camp Liberty July 4, 2009; Photo from Wikimedia Commons

Oakland Raiders

  • COACH. The Raiders’ roster hasn’t changed that much. What has changed is that Jon Gruden will once again be roaming NFL sidelines in black and silver.

Minnesota Vikings @ Denver Broncos- Saturday, August 11th 9:05pm ET

Minnesota Vikings and Denver Broncos

  • Why this game is getting televised is beyond me. You’re probably thinking, “because both teams have new starting QBs, and the Broncos’ new QB was the Vikings’ old QB. DUH!” But this is the preseason. Kirk Cousins and Case Keenum MAY get one drive each. Leaving them in any longer than that would be idiotic. This is a dumb game to televise. I guess tune in to watch Broncos QB Paxton Lynch (2016 first rounder) throw away the rest of his NFL career and Vikings QB Trevor Siemian (last season’s Broncos’ starter) show once more why he should never have been a starting QB?

Grab Bag #4: Thursday Night Football, NFL Wins, and Weather

Before I get into the meat of this post, I’d like to provide an update on my Teddy Ruxpin tweet from yesterday. Since my post last night, the retweet count on that tweet has increased to 25, and the like count is up to 147! Of course, I have to thank Dule Hill for that because he has WAY more followers than I do. His retweet is what has led to the success of my tweet. Also, I encourage all of you readers who have not seen it yet to check it out, and maybe add to the retweet and like counts! 🙂

Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers

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Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers                Tonight @ 6:25 pm MDT

Tonight’s matchup is a big one for the Arizona Cardinals. They are off to a 1-3 start to the season, despite coming into this year with Super Bowl aspirations. (Sidenote: The San Francisco 49ers are also off to a 1-3 start, but every expected that. Actually, I’m a little surprised they aren’t 0-4.) In fact, my projections that I released at the beginning of this season had the Cardinals sitting at 4-0 through this point in the season (and the 49ers sitting at 0-4). Obviously, I was a little off. Anyway, the Cardinals will be going into Levi’s stadium, desperately desiring a win without their starting QB. Carson Palmer was ruled out for this game earlier in the week, so backup QB Drew Stanton will start in Palmer’s place. No need to fret Cardinals fans, you might remember (and if you don’t then this is a reminder) that Stanton went 5-3 when he needed to fill in for the injured Palmer in 2014. In fact, Stanton might prove to help the Cardinals, as Palmer was struggling before his injury. Regardless, playing the San Francisco 49ers does wonders for a team’s confidence (even the Los Angeles Rams have won 3 straight games since losing to the 49ers, 0-28). I expect this to be a better game than Cardinals fans would like, but I still see the Cardinals winning, 14-10.  The margin of victory could be wider if the Cardinals secondary steps up their game. Other than CB Patrick Peterson, the secondary has been a weak point for the Cardinals this season, and that includes S Tryann Mathieu.

Which team do you think will win in tonight’s matchup?

Projections Progress

Seeing as the NFL season is a quarter of the way finished, I suppose now is a good time to take a look at how accurate my 2016-nfl-win-projections-updated have been, thus far. So, these are the teams that I’ve predicted correctly, so far:

-New Orleans Saints (1-3)

-Cleveland Browns (0-4)

-Detroit Lions (1-3)

-Chicago Bears (1-3)

-Tennessee Titans (1-3)

-Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1)

-Cincinnati Bengals (2-2)

-Dallas Cowboys (3-1)

-Green Bay Packers (2-1)

-Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-3)

Clearly, it’s easier to project the lower-end teams. Why? Well, the good teams end up stumbling in random games, which is hard to predict. The bad teams, however, always end up equalizing at the bottom, even if they are the reason for a good team’s stumble.

Which teams are doing better/worse than you thought they’d be doing?

Denver Weather

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The view of today’s gray sky from my dorm room.

Well, today started off quite dreary here in Denver. There was a fairly steady drizzle throughout the morning. Why am I mentioning this? Well, this is the first time it has rained since I’ve been here. I guess my roommate did something wrong, because today is his birthday, too. Unfortunate coincidence. But, It is now sunny again, and glimpses of blue sky are starting to show through the clouds. The weather can rain on the positivity parade if it wants, but in the end, happiness and positivity prevail!

What has the weather been where you are?

That’s all for TheHaysWay today, make sure to leave a comment on tonight’s game and/or on my win projections and/or on the weather (in Denver or elsewhere) and/or on the daily questions and/or on whatever is on your mind, along with a much-appreciated like. If you are not yet a follower, become a follower to join the positvity parade that conquers all, including the weather! Have a pleasant tomorrow.